CNN has published a new episode of its “election live” this evening, and it features two of the more interesting candidates on the Republican and Democratic sides of the aisle.
The two candidates are Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. CNN’s live election coverage from the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries will start at 6:00 pm ET.
Trump is actually running very well in Iowa, but I’m not sure how much of a factor that is. Clinton actually has the edge in New Hampshire. But the real drama is in Iowa, where the two candidates are fighting over who’s going to win the right to take over the Republican nomination.
The primary election is over and Clinton has won the Iowa vote and she’s now officially the nominee. Trump has a very slight lead in New Hampshire, but its not a lock that he wins either. If Trump loses in New Hampshire, he’d be the presumptive nominee. But if Clinton loses here, she’d also be the presumptive nominee. It might be a big let down if she loses here.
There are two reasons to believe that Clinton might be the presumptive nominee here. First, she has the biggest delegate lead in the race, at almost two million. She has a big lead in pledged delegates and superdelegates. Second, she leads in the popular vote. So if Trump loses here, he would be the presumptive nominee. But if Clinton loses here, she would be the presumptive nominee because her lead in popular vote would be less than a million.
Well, that’s not exactly what Trump said, but he did give the exact same reason for losing here. He said he thinks he can beat Clinton, at least in the popular vote. But the truth is that he was probably just saying that because he can’t beat her in the popular vote. So his statement that he thinks he can beat her in the popular vote is a little misleading.
As we all know, the electoral votes will be allocated at the state level, not the national level. So even if Clinton wins in the popular vote because of the Electoral College, she would still be the presumptive nominee because of the narrow margin.
Clinton has said that she thinks she can beat Trump in the popular vote, but in reality, she thinks she can only beat him in the electoral vote.
As the electoral votes are allocated, the results are tallied. In the case of a tie between Clinton and Trump, the Electoral College decides who is the winner. So as Clinton is the presumptive nominee, she will be the first to be elected president in November.
Of course this is all assuming that even if Clinton wins the popular vote, she doesn’t become the next president, because that’s not within the rules of the Electoral College. But even if she somehow does become president, it’s probably impossible to win, because as this new documentary proves, we’re all doomed to live in a time loop.